VIX Market Volatility Analysis and Trading Recommendations

VIX at Critical Support: Volatility Surge Warning

VIX trading at 15.50 near critical support of 14.85. Unusually low trading volumes and compressed volatility suggest potential for a significant breakout. Traders should watch for volume spikes as early warning signals. ✏️

Market Fear Index Shows Strong Confidence

Sustained downward trend in VIX indicates improving investor sentiment. Current levels well below historical averages signal market stability, with price action showing rejection of higher volatility. ✏️

Key Trading Levels and Break Probabilities

Watch 15 and 18 as crucial pivot points. Historical analysis shows 45% probability of breaking resistance during high-stress periods versus 15% in normal conditions. Current setup suggests potential for volatility expansion. ✏️

VIX Support/Resistance Level Analysis and Break Probabilities

Histogram showing the distribution of VIX values across different volatility states with key support levels (15, 18) and resistance levels (25, 30) marked.

VIX Analysis Reveals Market Stability with Recent Downward Trend

VIX Index price movement over the last 30 days with 5-day moving average showing the recent downward trend.

VIX Technical Analysis Reveals Key Trading Signals

VIX Index price movement with 20-day moving average and support/resistance levels showing the current trading range and trend.

VIX and Market Correlation Analysis Reveals Strong Trading Signals

The VIX has shown a consistent downward trend over the past month, with 11 down days versus 7 up days, indicating a sustained decrease in market fear. The largest single-day move was a spike of 20.54% on January 27, followed by three consecutive down days, suggesting a rejection of higher volatility levels.

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Recent price action shows the VIX has established a strong support level at 14.85 (January 24 low) and faces resistance around 18.62 (February 3 high). The current price of 15.50 suggests the index is trading near the lower end of its recent range.

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Volume analysis reveals unusually low trading activity during recent sessions, which often precedes significant market moves. This low-volume environment combined with compressed volatility levels suggests potential for a volatility expansion in the near term.

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VIX Daily Returns showing the distribution of positive (green) and negative (red) returns over the last 30 days

VIX Index Short-Term Price Prediction Analysis

Comparison of actual VIX Index values versus model predictions over time, showing the model's ability to track market volatility trends.

VIX Weekly Predictions and Volatility State Analysis

Monthly distribution of VIX volatility states showing the frequency of High, Normal, and Low volatility periods over the past year.

VIX Index Short-Term Prediction Analysis Reveals Strong Accuracy

Comparison of actual VIX values versus model predictions over time, showing the model's ability to track market movements.

VIX Monthly Predictions and Risk Factor Analysis

Box plot showing the distribution of VIX prediction errors across different market volatility states (Low, Normal, High).

Recent VIX Price Movements Show Declining Volatility Trend

VIX closing prices over the last 30 days with daily percentage changes shown as bars in the background.